Maes
I like big butts!

Posts: 10176
Registered: 07-06 |
That's pretty much like asking if all cars in the future will have automatic transmissions, and manual will die out. It won't, because certain applications demand it, and certain drivers prefer it.
Palmtops came and went... PDAs came and went.... Tablets are just a rehash of those concept, and occupy the equivalent nice. They sure have their uses, but just like you can't replace proper professional bench tool with a lighter, more limited "home" version suitable for the odd job or as a backup, you can't expect a tablet to do everything a home computer does as efficiently.
If they do "become the norm", that will only be through some sort of dual or multi-mode functionality. Primary mode will be portable touchscreen, but there will have to be some standardized office docking interface for serious work -effectively turning them into regular desktops when not on the move, with access to better screens, better keyboards, more suitable input devices etc.
Then again, data syncing already makes such a scenario obsolete -why putting all of your eggs in one basket and carry around your one and only computer?
Also, at technology parity, if in the future you'll be able to put functionality and performance X into a tablet or notebook, a desktop of similar cost will always have the potential for 10X -simpler to manufacture, easier to upgrade and service, and easier to connect to external devices that you might need.
TL; DR: Tablets will always be a "for the rest of them" product.
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