I like big arguments!
Thing is there is no dumbed-down apps for these tablets as they are running exactly the same OS as desktops/laptops.
And hence inherently unsuitable for use on a tablet or with a touchscreen, for that matter, so availability of apps alone is moot.
Currently yes they will get thicker to help with cooling. Will be lower power etc but you got to remember that hardware components get better each year and smaller each year aswell. Soon they'll end up of developed smaller lower powered very powerful processors.
Did you read anything of what I wrote? When those points will be addressed for a given tech level X, desktops and laptops will have advanced to X+1 (or X+2...or even beyond). And since you mentioned "using the same exact apps as desktops", how is that going to be desirable? Using modern apps with what equates to a computer of the previous generation or worse? Modern tablets are pretty much comparable to late Pentium III or early Pentium IV in raw CPU power, despite their multiple cores and without taking into account heat limitations. So that's about a decade of difference in raw CPU power levels. When this gap is bridged, desktops will have marched on, double time, and so on.
It's like discussing Achilles and the Turtle...with the difference that the Turtle is more like a Hare this time ;-)
Reason why I'm talking about them being a desktop replacement is for the majority of users. Not developers or people who do require a huge E-ATX PC.
So once again you come full circle and admit (in a roundabout way) that they will be, at best, a casual user's thing, which is of course OK if most people are indeed "just" casual users. Unfortunately, they never are. Take for example, all those people who bought cheap "Vista ready" laptops and got bit in the ass when they discovered that their "Vista ready" Intel GMA "GPU" couldn't play games for shit. "But when I chose it I reasoned that I'm not a dedicated gamer, I need to play a game now and then! Surely I should be able to do that, right?". Same reasoning. Sooner or later someone will want to use That One App that crosses the usability line...and then he/she will regret not getting a laptop or desktop instead.
Alot of desktops in the last 10 years have been replaced by laptops now anyway, your average user (who isn't a gamer) has a laptop instead of a desktop. Even then they have developed laptops good enough to run games like battlefield 3 at ultra quality high fps.
Not the same thing. Some laptops are designed to replace desktops (I use a big 17" Dell for this purpose, which it performs excellently), but I couldn't say the same about a 10" netbook, let alone a tablet. And yet, there were people claiming those would "kill" BOTH desktops and laptops, as they were "good enough for most people, who just use Facebook anyway". I can't count the times where desperate people with just a netbook were BEGGING me to find a way to upgrade them ("I really need to get job XYZ done with it/connect it to a bigger screen/etc.").
And even with laptops, it's very frequent to misjudge what equipment is important (e.g. many people sacrifice the GPU for a bigger HD or a few 100s MHz more in the CPU, until they realize that it's the one thing they cannot upgrade, unlike RAM, CPU and HD, and that without a decent GPU their quad-core laptop is just as suited for games as a S3 video card from 1996.
Anyway it's useless discussing the future I guess. So I'll post back here in 10 years time for an update haha
By that time the niche Tablets occupy today will have probably been filled by wrist-wearable flexy screens or air/goggle projection devices...with usability issues of their own. For where there is no reason to compromise power/usability with portability, standard desktops and laptops will still be King.
Last edited by Maes on 03-12-13 at 15:58